**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 17 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 17–18°C range because official forecasts and model guidance converge near 18°C while local variability and measurement precision keep 17°C competitive.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limit radiative cooling compared with clear conditions, while light southerly to shifting northerly winds reduce boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention in the city. Current observations show daytime highs near 26°C with dew points supporting modest nocturnal drops, consistent with climatological September lows around 17–19°C. The tight market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact station readings—likely the official observatory or airport site—rather than large-scale synoptic shifts, with any clearer breaks or wind changes able to tip the recorded minimum by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Zhengzhou em 17 de setembro?
15°C ou menos 90%
16°C 90%
18°C 50%
17°C 47%
15°C ou menos
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
47%
18°C
50%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
15°C ou menos 90%
16°C 90%
18°C 50%
17°C 47%
15°C ou menos
90%
16°C
90%
17°C
47%
18°C
50%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 17 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 17–18°C range because official forecasts and model guidance converge near 18°C while local variability and measurement precision keep 17°C competitive.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limit radiative cooling compared with clear conditions, while light southerly to shifting northerly winds reduce boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island retention in the city. Current observations show daytime highs near 26°C with dew points supporting modest nocturnal drops, consistent with climatological September lows around 17–19°C. The tight market-implied probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact station readings—likely the official observatory or airport site—rather than large-scale synoptic shifts, with any clearer breaks or wind changes able to tip the recorded minimum by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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