The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Miami em 19 de setembro?
74-75°F 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
69°F ou menos <1%
21-22°C <1%
$6,276 Vol.
$6,276 Vol.
19 set 2026
69°F ou menos
Não
21-22°C
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Sim
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88°F ou mais
Não
74-75°F 99.5%
72-73°F <1%
69°F ou menos <1%
21-22°C <1%
$6,276 Vol.
$6,276 Vol.
19 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$166 Vol.
Não
21-22°C
$422 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$1,099 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$1,154 Vol.
Sim
76-77°F
$1,529 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$465 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$41 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$118 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$108 Vol.
Não
86-87°F
$1,137 Vol.
Não
88°F ou mais
$37 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$6,276Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,276Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The official National Weather Service observation for Miami on September 19, 2026, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F, aligning precisely with the market's 99.3% implied probability for the 74-75°F bin. This outcome reflects typical late-September conditions in South Florida, where overnight lows average 76-77°F amid high humidity and minimal frontal influence, with the slight dip below normal consistent with localized radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. National Weather Service data from Miami International Airport provide the authoritative measurement for market resolution, incorporating standard 24-hour minimums without adjustment for microclimates. Scenarios that could have challenged the consensus, such as an unexpected cold-air intrusion or model errors in pre-event forecasts, did not materialize, leaving trader positioning anchored in climatological baselines and real-time observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions