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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine

Nirav Shah 40%

Troy Jackson 22%

Hannah Pingree 10%

Shenna Bellows 9.1%

Polymarket

$55,775 Vol.

Nirav Shah 40%

Troy Jackson 22%

Hannah Pingree 10%

Shenna Bellows 9.1%

Polymarket

$55,775 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,499 Vol.

40%

Troy Jackson

$8,656 Vol.

22%

Hannah Pingree

$5,698 Vol.

10%

Shenna Bellows

$5,462 Vol.

9%

Angus King III

$4,377 Vol.

7%

Jason Cherry

$19,485 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent GQR polling from May 6-9 shows Nirav Shah leading Maine's Democratic gubernatorial primary at 32% in the initial round among likely voters, ahead of Hannah Pingree (20%), Shenna Bellows (18%), Troy Jackson (15%), and Angus King III (12%), driving trader consensus to price Shah at 40.5% implied probability for the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Shah's edge reflects his high name recognition from directing the Maine CDC during COVID-19, consistent poll leads since winter, and solid fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand. Jackson's 26.5% pricing underscores his populist logger background and union endorsements like MSEA-SEIU, despite trailing in surveys, while Pingree benefits from top fundraising. The fragmented field and recent debates keep the outcome uncertain under ranked-choice voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,775
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Recent GQR polling from May 6-9 shows Nirav Shah leading Maine's Democratic gubernatorial primary at 32% in the initial round among likely voters, ahead of Hannah Pingree (20%), Shenna Bellows (18%), Troy Jackson (15%), and Angus King III (12%), driving trader consensus to price Shah at 40.5% implied probability for the June 9 ranked-choice primary. Shah's edge reflects his high name recognition from directing the Maine CDC during COVID-19, consistent poll leads since winter, and solid fundraising with over $600,000 cash on hand. Jackson's 26.5% pricing underscores his populist logger background and union endorsements like MSEA-SEIU, despite trailing in surveys, while Pingree benefits from top fundraising. The fragmented field and recent debates keep the outcome uncertain under ranked-choice voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$55,775
Data de Término
9 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 40%, followed by "Troy Jackson" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" has generated $55.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" is "Nirav Shah" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Troy Jackson" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador do Maine" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.