The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has positioned Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district as an open-seat contest in a constituency that voted for Kamala Harris in 2024 and carries a modest Democratic lean in presidential voting. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report classifies the race as leaning Democratic or a toss-up, reflecting the district’s Omaha-area demographics and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Traders have priced in a clear Democratic edge consistent with historical open-seat patterns in similarly situated districts and limited recent polling showing Democratic leads. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline assessment ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNE-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
NE-02 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$37,370 Vol.
$37,370 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
79%
Partido Republicano
13%
$37,370 Vol.
$37,370 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$32,495 Vol.
79%
Partido Republicano
$4,875 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has positioned Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district as an open-seat contest in a constituency that voted for Kamala Harris in 2024 and carries a modest Democratic lean in presidential voting. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report classifies the race as leaning Democratic or a toss-up, reflecting the district’s Omaha-area demographics and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Traders have priced in a clear Democratic edge consistent with historical open-seat patterns in similarly situated districts and limited recent polling showing Democratic leads. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline assessment ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$37,370Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has positioned Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district as an open-seat contest in a constituency that voted for Kamala Harris in 2024 and carries a modest Democratic lean in presidential voting. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report classifies the race as leaning Democratic or a toss-up, reflecting the district’s Omaha-area demographics and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Traders have priced in a clear Democratic edge consistent with historical open-seat patterns in similarly situated districts and limited recent polling showing Democratic leads. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline assessment ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,370Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon has positioned Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district as an open-seat contest in a constituency that voted for Kamala Harris in 2024 and carries a modest Democratic lean in presidential voting. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination after a competitive May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Cook Political Report classifies the race as leaning Democratic or a toss-up, reflecting the district’s Omaha-area demographics and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Traders have priced in a clear Democratic edge consistent with historical open-seat patterns in similarly situated districts and limited recent polling showing Democratic leads. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline assessment ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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