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Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México
Eleições·MIDTERMS

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México

$21,292 Vol.

Polymarket

$21,292 Vol.

icon for Democrata

Democrata

$15,490 Vol.

88%

icon for Republicano

Republicano

$5,802 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With primaries approaching on June 2, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic governor in New Mexico's open-seat race, reflecting the state's Democratic voter registration edge, trifecta control, and historical wins like Michelle Lujan Grisham's 2022 eight-point margin amid her term limits. Recent April-May polls show former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland leading district attorney Sam Bregman 40-56% to 18-30% in the Democratic primary, bolstered by endorsements from all three congressional representatives, Sen. Ben Ray Luján, and superior fundraising ($11 million raised). The Republican primary remains fragmented, with mayor Gregg Hull at 21-30% but 40% undecided per a May 3 poll. Absent general election polling, odds imply strong Democratic path-to-victory unless primary upsets or scandals shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$21,292
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With primaries approaching on June 2, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic governor in New Mexico's open-seat race, reflecting the state's Democratic voter registration edge, trifecta control, and historical wins like Michelle Lujan Grisham's 2022 eight-point margin amid her term limits. Recent April-May polls show former Interior Secretary Deb Haaland leading district attorney Sam Bregman 40-56% to 18-30% in the Democratic primary, bolstered by endorsements from all three congressional representatives, Sen. Ben Ray Luján, and superior fundraising ($11 million raised). The Republican primary remains fragmented, with mayor Gregg Hull at 21-30% but 40% undecided per a May 3 poll. Absent general election polling, odds imply strong Democratic path-to-victory unless primary upsets or scandals shift dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$21,292
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrata" at 88%, followed by "Republicano" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México" has generated $21.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México" is "Democrata" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Republicano" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Novo México" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.