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icon for O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?

O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?

icon for O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?

O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?

20-39 65%

40-59 35%

120-139 <1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket

$14,011 Vol.

20-39 65%

40-59 35%

120-139 <1%

80-99 <1%

Polymarket

$14,011 Vol.

20-39

$6,204 Vol.

65%

40-59

$2,833 Vol.

35%

60-79

$724 Vol.

1%

80-99

$426 Vol.

1%

100-119

$356 Vol.

1%

120-139

$750 Vol.

1%

140-159

$487 Vol.

1%

160-179

$535 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$444 Vol.

<1%

200+

$522 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains an active official X account (@NYCMayor) that serves as the primary channel for announcements, commemorations, and policy updates. Trader consensus favoring 20-39 posts in the September 11-18 window reflects the mayor’s established posting cadence, which typically clusters around major events such as the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks and routine releases on infrastructure, public safety, and immigration litigation. Recent activity includes multiple remembrance messages on September 11, alongside updates on Vision Zero street-safety initiatives, new public facilities, and a lawsuit challenging federal public-charge rules. These developments support moderate volume without indicating a sustained spike, while the low probabilities assigned to higher bins align with the absence of breaking crises or daily press-conference threads that would push totals into the 60-plus range. The implied probabilities capture market participants’ assessment of the mayor’s communication rhythm amid a period of scheduled policy rollouts rather than extraordinary circumstances.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,011
Data de Término
18 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, maintains an active official X account (@NYCMayor) that serves as the primary channel for announcements, commemorations, and policy updates. Trader consensus favoring 20-39 posts in the September 11-18 window reflects the mayor’s established posting cadence, which typically clusters around major events such as the 25th anniversary of the September 11 attacks and routine releases on infrastructure, public safety, and immigration litigation. Recent activity includes multiple remembrance messages on September 11, alongside updates on Vision Zero street-safety initiatives, new public facilities, and a lawsuit challenging federal public-charge rules. These developments support moderate volume without indicating a sustained spike, while the low probabilities assigned to higher bins align with the absence of breaking crises or daily press-conference threads that would push totals into the 60-plus range. The implied probabilities capture market participants’ assessment of the mayor’s communication rhythm amid a period of scheduled policy rollouts rather than extraordinary circumstances.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 11, 12:00 PM ET and September 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,011
Data de Término
18 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 65%, followed by "40-59" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?" has generated $14K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?" is "20-39" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O prefeito de Nova York # postou de 11 a 18 de setembro de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.