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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon

David Brock Smith 80.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 19%

Russell McAlmond 1.4%

Deborah C. Brown <1%

Polymarket

$95,677 Vol.

David Brock Smith 80.3%

Jo Rae Perkins 19%

Russell McAlmond 1.4%

Deborah C. Brown <1%

Polymarket

$95,677 Vol.

David Brock Smith

$6,270 Vol.

80%

Jo Rae Perkins

$16,028 Vol.

19%

Russell McAlmond

$15,204 Vol.

1%

Deborah C. Brown

$3,291 Vol.

1%

Joe Johnson

$11,271 Vol.

<1%

Tim Skelton

$9,465 Vol.

<1%

David Burch

$23,736 Vol.

<1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$7,483 Vol.

<1%

Brent Barker

$2,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Brock Smith's position as a sitting Oregon state senator since 2023, following service in the state House, has driven his strong lead in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, reflecting traders' assessment of his legislative experience and party establishment ties ahead of the May 19 vote. Jo Rae Perkins, the Republican nominee in 2020 and 2022, holds the main alternative share through name familiarity among longtime supporters, though recent reporting shows limited fundraising and organizational momentum compared to Smith. The remaining candidates trail far behind, with minimal public profile or resources shaping the low probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field in recent days, leaving the contest centered on these established profiles as ballots reach voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$95,677
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.David Brock Smith's position as a sitting Oregon state senator since 2023, following service in the state House, has driven his strong lead in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate, reflecting traders' assessment of his legislative experience and party establishment ties ahead of the May 19 vote. Jo Rae Perkins, the Republican nominee in 2020 and 2022, holds the main alternative share through name familiarity among longtime supporters, though recent reporting shows limited fundraising and organizational momentum compared to Smith. The remaining candidates trail far behind, with minimal public profile or resources shaping the low probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field in recent days, leaving the contest centered on these established profiles as ballots reach voters.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$95,677
Data de Término
19 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Brock Smith" at 80%, followed by "Jo Rae Perkins" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" has generated $95.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" is "David Brock Smith" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jo Rae Perkins" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado do Oregon" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.