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icon for Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?
Política·EUA X Irão

Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?
Política·EUA X Irão

Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?

mai 31

jun 30

dez 31

mai 31

jun 30

dez 31

Sim

31% chance
Polymarket

$215,010 Vol.

Sim

31% chance
Polymarket

$215,010 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to manage Pentagon operations and congressional oversight amid the ongoing Iran conflict and fiscal 2027 budget debates. In mid-May 2026 testimony before House and Senate appropriators, he addressed war costs, force posture, and weapons production while defending administration priorities. Despite reports of internal staff changes and questions over civilian harm policies, President Trump has shown no public signs of withdrawing support. Senate confirmation patterns and historical precedent for cabinet stability under unified government contribute to the market's 69 percent consensus that Hegseth will remain through December 31. Upcoming hearings and any shifts in Iran diplomacy could still influence sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$215,010
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth continues to manage Pentagon operations and congressional oversight amid the ongoing Iran conflict and fiscal 2027 budget debates. In mid-May 2026 testimony before House and Senate appropriators, he addressed war costs, force posture, and weapons production while defending administration priorities. Despite reports of internal staff changes and questions over civilian harm policies, President Trump has shown no public signs of withdrawing support. Senate confirmation patterns and historical precedent for cabinet stability under unified government contribute to the market's 69 percent consensus that Hegseth will remain through December 31. Upcoming hearings and any shifts in Iran diplomacy could still influence sentiment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$215,010
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Hegseth fora do cargo de Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?" has generated $215K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?" is "Pete Hegseth fora do cargo de Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.