Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory show below-average rainfall through mid-May 2026, with early-month totals lagging historical norms amid persistent high-pressure influences and limited convective activity. This has kept trader consensus tightly clustered around the 180-220 mm range, reflecting model guidance for a strengthening monsoon trough and increased southerly flow in the latter half of the month that could deliver 100-150 mm more precipitation. Long-term climatology places May averages near 217-250 mm, with high variability driven by the timing of rainbands and any early-season tropical systems; ensemble forecasts currently indicate normal to slightly above-normal totals overall, though steering patterns and localized thunderstorm intensity remain key variables that could shift final accumulation by 20-30 mm in either direction before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPrecipitation in Hong Kong in May?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
230-240mm 71%
220-230mm 42%
200-210mm 29.9%
190-200mm 22%
NOVO
NOVO
31 mai 2026
<180mm
31%
180-190mm
35%
190-200mm
22%
200-210mm
30%
210-220mm
37%
220-230mm
22%
230-240mm
71%
240mm+
18%
230-240mm 71%
220-230mm 42%
200-210mm 29.9%
190-200mm 22%
NOVO
NOVO
31 mai 2026
<180mm
$943 Vol.
31%
180-190mm
$114 Vol.
35%
190-200mm
$248 Vol.
22%
200-210mm
$139 Vol.
30%
210-220mm
$161 Vol.
37%
220-230mm
$129 Vol.
22%
230-240mm
$138 Vol.
71%
240mm+
$560 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory show below-average rainfall through mid-May 2026, with early-month totals lagging historical norms amid persistent high-pressure influences and limited convective activity. This has kept trader consensus tightly clustered around the 180-220 mm range, reflecting model guidance for a strengthening monsoon trough and increased southerly flow in the latter half of the month that could deliver 100-150 mm more precipitation. Long-term climatology places May averages near 217-250 mm, with high variability driven by the timing of rainbands and any early-season tropical systems; ensemble forecasts currently indicate normal to slightly above-normal totals overall, though steering patterns and localized thunderstorm intensity remain key variables that could shift final accumulation by 20-30 mm in either direction before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,431Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory show below-average rainfall through mid-May 2026, with early-month totals lagging historical norms amid persistent high-pressure influences and limited convective activity. This has kept trader consensus tightly clustered around the 180-220 mm range, reflecting model guidance for a strengthening monsoon trough and increased southerly flow in the latter half of the month that could deliver 100-150 mm more precipitation. Long-term climatology places May averages near 217-250 mm, with high variability driven by the timing of rainbands and any early-season tropical systems; ensemble forecasts currently indicate normal to slightly above-normal totals overall, though steering patterns and localized thunderstorm intensity remain key variables that could shift final accumulation by 20-30 mm in either direction before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between May 1 and May 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in May 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,431Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations from the Hong Kong Observatory show below-average rainfall through mid-May 2026, with early-month totals lagging historical norms amid persistent high-pressure influences and limited convective activity. This has kept trader consensus tightly clustered around the 180-220 mm range, reflecting model guidance for a strengthening monsoon trough and increased southerly flow in the latter half of the month that could deliver 100-150 mm more precipitation. Long-term climatology places May averages near 217-250 mm, with high variability driven by the timing of rainbands and any early-season tropical systems; ensemble forecasts currently indicate normal to slightly above-normal totals overall, though steering patterns and localized thunderstorm intensity remain key variables that could shift final accumulation by 20-30 mm in either direction before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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