Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVagas republicanas na Câmara após as eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
Vagas republicanas na Câmara após as eleições de meio de mandato de 2026?
Abaixo de 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
190-194 12%
$234,000 Vol.
$234,000 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Abaixo de 190
27%
190-194
12%
195-199
12%
200-204
12%
205-209
10%
210-214
9%
215-219
11%
220-224
9%
225-229
3%
230+
1%
Abaixo de 190 27%
195-199 12%
200-204 11.6%
190-194 12%
$234,000 Vol.
$234,000 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Abaixo de 190
$17,559 Vol.
27%
190-194
$8,510 Vol.
12%
195-199
$28,089 Vol.
12%
200-204
$22,113 Vol.
12%
205-209
$35,373 Vol.
10%
210-214
$12,829 Vol.
9%
215-219
$7,989 Vol.
11%
220-224
$53,712 Vol.
9%
225-229
$21,389 Vol.
3%
230+
$26,436 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$234,000Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$234,000Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold a narrow 217-seat House majority entering the 2026 midterms, leaving them vulnerable to Democratic net gains of just three seats. Recent generic ballot polling shows Democrats leading by 5–9 points, consistent with the historical pattern of the president’s party losing seats in midterms amid low approval ratings near 40 percent. Redistricting changes in states including Virginia and Missouri have shifted several districts toward Democrats, while 14 Republican-held toss-up seats outnumber Democratic equivalents according to nonpartisan ratings. These factors have driven trader consensus toward outcomes in the low 190s or below, reflecting expectations of substantial losses absent major shifts in the economic or foreign policy environment before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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