Recent polling shows United Russia dominating first place while LDPR, New People, and KPRF compete tightly for second and third, with LDPR and New People separated by narrow margins in VTsIOM and other surveys conducted through mid-2026. LDPR benefits from established regional networks and leadership continuity under Leonid Slutsky, supporting its position as the market favorite for third. New People has posted gains in several state-affiliated polls by emphasizing technocratic themes and attracting younger or urban voters, keeping the contest fluid ahead of the September 18–20 vote. KPRF trails amid reports of organizational stagnation, while smaller parties face barriers clearing the five-percent threshold. Kremlin management of systemic opposition parties and ongoing campaign activity in the final weeks remain key variables that could shift relative standings before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.7%
$62,125 Vol.
$62,125 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
41%

New People (NL)
34%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
2%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 41%
New People (NL) 34%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.7%
$62,125 Vol.
$62,125 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
41%

New People (NL)
34%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows United Russia dominating first place while LDPR, New People, and KPRF compete tightly for second and third, with LDPR and New People separated by narrow margins in VTsIOM and other surveys conducted through mid-2026. LDPR benefits from established regional networks and leadership continuity under Leonid Slutsky, supporting its position as the market favorite for third. New People has posted gains in several state-affiliated polls by emphasizing technocratic themes and attracting younger or urban voters, keeping the contest fluid ahead of the September 18–20 vote. KPRF trails amid reports of organizational stagnation, while smaller parties face barriers clearing the five-percent threshold. Kremlin management of systemic opposition parties and ongoing campaign activity in the final weeks remain key variables that could shift relative standings before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions