Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with multiple surveys showing figures between 34% and 39% amid a net negative rating near -20 to -27 points. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across the 37.0–38.9 bins because recent data reflect modest stability rather than sharp movement, even as the Iran conflict remains stalemated, fuel prices stay elevated, and midterm-related economic concerns weigh on sentiment. Historical comparisons note this level sits below most second-term presidents at a similar point. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, so incremental poll releases or any diplomatic or economic signals in the interim could narrow or widen the distribution among the leading ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38,0–38,4 37%
39,0+ 37%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
<37,0
16%
37,0–37,4
37%
37,5–37,9
37%
38,0–38,4
37%
38,5–38,9
36%
39,0+
37%
37,0–37,4 37%
37,5–37,9 37%
38,0–38,4 37%
39,0+ 37%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
<37,0
$0 Vol.
16%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
37%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
37%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
37%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
36%
39,0+
$2 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with multiple surveys showing figures between 34% and 39% amid a net negative rating near -20 to -27 points. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across the 37.0–38.9 bins because recent data reflect modest stability rather than sharp movement, even as the Iran conflict remains stalemated, fuel prices stay elevated, and midterm-related economic concerns weigh on sentiment. Historical comparisons note this level sits below most second-term presidents at a similar point. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, so incremental poll releases or any diplomatic or economic signals in the interim could narrow or widen the distribution among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$2Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with multiple surveys showing figures between 34% and 39% amid a net negative rating near -20 to -27 points. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across the 37.0–38.9 bins because recent data reflect modest stability rather than sharp movement, even as the Iran conflict remains stalemated, fuel prices stay elevated, and midterm-related economic concerns weigh on sentiment. Historical comparisons note this level sits below most second-term presidents at a similar point. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, so incremental poll releases or any diplomatic or economic signals in the interim could narrow or widen the distribution among the leading ranges.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$2Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early August 2026, with multiple surveys showing figures between 34% and 39% amid a net negative rating near -20 to -27 points. Trader probabilities cluster tightly across the 37.0–38.9 bins because recent data reflect modest stability rather than sharp movement, even as the Iran conflict remains stalemated, fuel prices stay elevated, and midterm-related economic concerns weigh on sentiment. Historical comparisons note this level sits below most second-term presidents at a similar point. Limited time remains before the August 14 measurement, so incremental poll releases or any diplomatic or economic signals in the interim could narrow or widen the distribution among the leading ranges.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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