Recent polling aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and the New York Times have held steady in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, with multiple surveys from late August and early September clustering near 37-38%. This consistency, amid ongoing economic concerns such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures plus developments related to Iran, has anchored trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 band as the implied probability for the September 11 snapshot. Individual polls have shown some variation, including lower readings around 33-35%, yet broader averages have not shifted materially. A sudden late poll release or unexpected event could still alter the final figure before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado38,0–38,4 97.5%
38,5–38,9 2.5%
39,0–39,4 2.0%
<37,5 <1%
$9,607 Vol.
$9,607 Vol.
11 set 2026
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
<1%
38,0–38,4
98%
38,5–38,9
3%
39,0–39,4
2%
39,5+
<1%
38,0–38,4 97.5%
38,5–38,9 2.5%
39,0–39,4 2.0%
<37,5 <1%
$9,607 Vol.
$9,607 Vol.
11 set 2026
<37,5
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
37,5–37,9
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
38,0–38,4
$2,973 Vol.
98%
38,5–38,9
$2,580 Vol.
3%
39,0–39,4
$1,194 Vol.
2%
39,5+
$312 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and the New York Times have held steady in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, with multiple surveys from late August and early September clustering near 37-38%. This consistency, amid ongoing economic concerns such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures plus developments related to Iran, has anchored trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 band as the implied probability for the September 11 snapshot. Individual polls have shown some variation, including lower readings around 33-35%, yet broader averages have not shifted materially. A sudden late poll release or unexpected event could still alter the final figure before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$9,607Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and the New York Times have held steady in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, with multiple surveys from late August and early September clustering near 37-38%. This consistency, amid ongoing economic concerns such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures plus developments related to Iran, has anchored trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 band as the implied probability for the September 11 snapshot. Individual polls have shown some variation, including lower readings around 33-35%, yet broader averages have not shifted materially. A sudden late poll release or unexpected event could still alter the final figure before resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$9,607Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and the New York Times have held steady in the high 37% to low 39% range through early September 2026, with multiple surveys from late August and early September clustering near 37-38%. This consistency, amid ongoing economic concerns such as inflation and cost-of-living pressures plus developments related to Iran, has anchored trader consensus on the 38.0–38.4 band as the implied probability for the September 11 snapshot. Individual polls have shown some variation, including lower readings around 33-35%, yet broader averages have not shifted materially. A sudden late poll release or unexpected event could still alter the final figure before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions