Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering near historic lows for his second term amid persistent economic pressures, including inflation and energy costs, alongside public skepticism over foreign policy developments such as the Iran conflict. These headwinds create downside risk for weekly shifts, yet offsetting factors like stable partisan support and occasional positive economic signals or diplomatic updates sustain upside potential. The even split in trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, where short-term poll fluctuations, media coverage of administration actions, and voter sentiment on core issues like affordability could determine movement in either direction before the week's resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUp
NOVO
NOVO
3 jul 2026
Up
NOVO
NOVO
3 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering near historic lows for his second term amid persistent economic pressures, including inflation and energy costs, alongside public skepticism over foreign policy developments such as the Iran conflict. These headwinds create downside risk for weekly shifts, yet offsetting factors like stable partisan support and occasional positive economic signals or diplomatic updates sustain upside potential. The even split in trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, where short-term poll fluctuations, media coverage of administration actions, and voter sentiment on core issues like affordability could determine movement in either direction before the week's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering near historic lows for his second term amid persistent economic pressures, including inflation and energy costs, alongside public skepticism over foreign policy developments such as the Iran conflict. These headwinds create downside risk for weekly shifts, yet offsetting factors like stable partisan support and occasional positive economic signals or diplomatic updates sustain upside potential. The even split in trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, where short-term poll fluctuations, media coverage of administration actions, and voter sentiment on core issues like affordability could determine movement in either direction before the week's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 3, 2026, than on June 26, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 26, 2026, than on July 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$0Data de Término
3 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering near historic lows for his second term amid persistent economic pressures, including inflation and energy costs, alongside public skepticism over foreign policy developments such as the Iran conflict. These headwinds create downside risk for weekly shifts, yet offsetting factors like stable partisan support and occasional positive economic signals or diplomatic updates sustain upside potential. The even split in trader consensus reflects this equilibrium, where short-term poll fluctuations, media coverage of administration actions, and voter sentiment on core issues like affordability could determine movement in either direction before the week's resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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