Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest Marist and AP-NORC surveys showing 36-37% amid record-low marks on economic handling and persistent concerns over gas prices tied to foreign policy developments. This positions the June 26 reading near the market's clustered 38-39 ranges, where trader consensus reflects limited time for major shifts before the snapshot date. Economic sentiment and any last-minute diplomatic or legislative moves remain the primary variables that could nudge the final figure higher or lower, while steady partisan divides and typical polling variance sustain the narrow spreads across nearby bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado39,0–39,4 54%
38,5–38,9 27%
39,5–39,9 19%
38,0–38,4 3.9%
<38,0
2%
38,0–38,4
4%
38,5–38,9
27%
39,0–39,4
54%
39,5–39,9
19%
40,0+
1%
39,0–39,4 54%
38,5–38,9 27%
39,5–39,9 19%
38,0–38,4 3.9%
<38,0
2%
38,0–38,4
4%
38,5–38,9
27%
39,0–39,4
54%
39,5–39,9
19%
40,0+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 21, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s, with the latest Marist and AP-NORC surveys showing 36-37% amid record-low marks on economic handling and persistent concerns over gas prices tied to foreign policy developments. This positions the June 26 reading near the market's clustered 38-39 ranges, where trader consensus reflects limited time for major shifts before the snapshot date. Economic sentiment and any last-minute diplomatic or legislative moves remain the primary variables that could nudge the final figure higher or lower, while steady partisan divides and typical polling variance sustain the narrow spreads across nearby bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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