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icon for Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?

Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?

icon for Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?

Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

Sim

19% chance
Polymarket

$41,729 Vol.

Sim

19% chance
Polymarket

$41,729 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Trump administration-brokered developments, including a three-day Russia-Ukraine ceasefire announced on May 8, 2026, and President Trump's May 12 claim that a peace settlement is "very close," have fueled speculation but yielded no US recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory like Crimea or Donbas. Traders price "No" at 81%, reflecting bipartisan congressional bills barring such recognition, ongoing State Department affirmations of Ukraine's territorial integrity, and President Zelenskyy's firm rejection of concessions on stolen land. Russia demands legal acknowledgment in talks, yet US positions prioritize de-escalation without territorial capitulation, with historical precedents against formal reversals amid stalled negotiations and UN resolutions upholding sovereignty. Upcoming summits could shift dynamics, but structural barriers persist.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.

Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Volume
$41,729
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Trump administration-brokered developments, including a three-day Russia-Ukraine ceasefire announced on May 8, 2026, and President Trump's May 12 claim that a peace settlement is "very close," have fueled speculation but yielded no US recognition of Russian sovereignty over Ukrainian territory like Crimea or Donbas. Traders price "No" at 81%, reflecting bipartisan congressional bills barring such recognition, ongoing State Department affirmations of Ukraine's territorial integrity, and President Zelenskyy's firm rejection of concessions on stolen land. Russia demands legal acknowledgment in talks, yet US positions prioritize de-escalation without territorial capitulation, with historical precedents against formal reversals amid stalled negotiations and UN resolutions upholding sovereignty. Upcoming summits could shift dynamics, but structural barriers persist.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.

Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.

Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.

The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Volume
$41,729
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea. The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?" has generated $41.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?" is "Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Os EUA reconhecem a soberania russa sobre a Ucrânia antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.