Anthropic’s dominant 96.5% market-implied odds reflect sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Code Arena, driven by recent releases including Claude Opus 4.8 in late May and Claude Fable 5 in early June 2026. These models excel at agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and large codebase handling, with Anthropic reporting that Claude now authors over 80% of its internal production code. Developers consistently favor the Opus and Sonnet series for complex refactoring and autonomous agents over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 remains the nearest rival on select agentic metrics, but a new OpenAI release or benchmark reversal before end of June could narrow the gap if it demonstrates superior verified performance on standardized coding evaluations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA de codificação no final de junho?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA de codificação no final de junho?
Anthropic 96.5%
OpenAI 2.0%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$69,366 Vol.
$69,366 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
97%
OpenAI
2%
Z.ai
1%
xAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 96.5%
OpenAI 2.0%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$69,366 Vol.
$69,366 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
$9,957 Vol.
97%
OpenAI
$8,884 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$8,297 Vol.
1%
xAI
$8,462 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$5,774 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$5,820 Vol.
<1%
$6,945 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$3,593 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$5,779 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$747 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$868 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$894 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$633 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$870 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s dominant 96.5% market-implied odds reflect sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Code Arena, driven by recent releases including Claude Opus 4.8 in late May and Claude Fable 5 in early June 2026. These models excel at agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and large codebase handling, with Anthropic reporting that Claude now authors over 80% of its internal production code. Developers consistently favor the Opus and Sonnet series for complex refactoring and autonomous agents over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 remains the nearest rival on select agentic metrics, but a new OpenAI release or benchmark reversal before end of June could narrow the gap if it demonstrates superior verified performance on standardized coding evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$69,366Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s dominant 96.5% market-implied odds reflect sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Code Arena, driven by recent releases including Claude Opus 4.8 in late May and Claude Fable 5 in early June 2026. These models excel at agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and large codebase handling, with Anthropic reporting that Claude now authors over 80% of its internal production code. Developers consistently favor the Opus and Sonnet series for complex refactoring and autonomous agents over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 remains the nearest rival on select agentic metrics, but a new OpenAI release or benchmark reversal before end of June could narrow the gap if it demonstrates superior verified performance on standardized coding evaluations.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$69,366Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s dominant 96.5% market-implied odds reflect sustained leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and Code Arena, driven by recent releases including Claude Opus 4.8 in late May and Claude Fable 5 in early June 2026. These models excel at agentic workflows, long-horizon tasks, and large codebase handling, with Anthropic reporting that Claude now authors over 80% of its internal production code. Developers consistently favor the Opus and Sonnet series for complex refactoring and autonomous agents over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 remains the nearest rival on select agentic metrics, but a new OpenAI release or benchmark reversal before end of June could narrow the gap if it demonstrates superior verified performance on standardized coding evaluations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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