Skip to main content
icon for #1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?

#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?

icon for #1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?

#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?

Love Island USA 45%

ChatGPT 21%

Claude da Anthropic 6%

Planet Fitness 3.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

Love Island USA 45%

ChatGPT 21%

Claude da Anthropic 6%

Planet Fitness 3.4%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Love Island USA

Love Island USA

$94 Vol.

45%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$26 Vol.

21%

icon for Claude da Anthropic

Claude da Anthropic

$27 Vol.

6%

icon for Planet Fitness

Planet Fitness

$112 Vol.

3%

icon for Google

Google

$253 Vol.

3%

icon for Threads

Threads

$580 Vol.

2%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$385 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders view the race for the #1 free spot on the US Apple App Store on June 15 as highly competitive, with multiple apps holding roughly 50% implied probability and Love Island USA close behind at 45.5%. This tight positioning stems from fluid user behavior on the platform, where factors like viral marketing, seasonal TV tie-ins for entertainment apps, AI chatbot updates from ChatGPT or Claude, and social features in apps such as Threads can rapidly shift download momentum. Lower probabilities for options like Planet Fitness or Google Gemini highlight how established categories compete against fresher content or algorithmic boosts. Key swing elements include last-minute app store promotions or developer announcements that could tip visibility in the remaining days.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,478
Data de Término
15 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Traders view the race for the #1 free spot on the US Apple App Store on June 15 as highly competitive, with multiple apps holding roughly 50% implied probability and Love Island USA close behind at 45.5%. This tight positioning stems from fluid user behavior on the platform, where factors like viral marketing, seasonal TV tie-ins for entertainment apps, AI chatbot updates from ChatGPT or Claude, and social features in apps such as Threads can rapidly shift download momentum. Lower probabilities for options like Planet Fitness or Google Gemini highlight how established categories compete against fresher content or algorithmic boosts. Key swing elements include last-minute app store promotions or developer announcements that could tip visibility in the remaining days.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,478
Data de Término
15 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Love Island USA" at 46%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?" is "Love Island USA" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 App grátis na Apple App Store dos EUA em 15 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.