Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for second-best AI model by end of June, reflecting the strong demonstrated capabilities of its latest Claude large language model in independent benchmarks and real-world enterprise use. Recent reasoning and safety-focused updates have reinforced its competitive positioning against Google’s Gemini advancements, which hold the next-highest share at 17.5%. OpenAI trails at 6.4% amid shifting priorities, while xAI and DeepSeek remain niche contenders. Upcoming benchmark releases or model updates in the coming weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter current trader consensus before the June resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o segundo melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?
Qual empresa tem o segundo melhor modelo de IA no final de junho?
Anthropic 75%
Google 17%
OpenAI 6.3%
xAI 2.6%
$400,535 Vol.
$400,535 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
75%
17%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
2%
Microsoft
1%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 75%
Google 17%
OpenAI 6.3%
xAI 2.6%
$400,535 Vol.
$400,535 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Anthropic
$14,660 Vol.
75%
$5,606 Vol.
17%
OpenAI
$34,197 Vol.
6%
xAI
$14,881 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$249,043 Vol.
2%
Microsoft
$5,532 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$6,585 Vol.
1%
Meta
$4,175 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$4,912 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,388 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$9,312 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$34,076 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$5,546 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$4,723 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,898 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for second-best AI model by end of June, reflecting the strong demonstrated capabilities of its latest Claude large language model in independent benchmarks and real-world enterprise use. Recent reasoning and safety-focused updates have reinforced its competitive positioning against Google’s Gemini advancements, which hold the next-highest share at 17.5%. OpenAI trails at 6.4% amid shifting priorities, while xAI and DeepSeek remain niche contenders. Upcoming benchmark releases or model updates in the coming weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter current trader consensus before the June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$400,535Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for second-best AI model by end of June, reflecting the strong demonstrated capabilities of its latest Claude large language model in independent benchmarks and real-world enterprise use. Recent reasoning and safety-focused updates have reinforced its competitive positioning against Google’s Gemini advancements, which hold the next-highest share at 17.5%. OpenAI trails at 6.4% amid shifting priorities, while xAI and DeepSeek remain niche contenders. Upcoming benchmark releases or model updates in the coming weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter current trader consensus before the June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$400,535Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for second-best AI model by end of June, reflecting the strong demonstrated capabilities of its latest Claude large language model in independent benchmarks and real-world enterprise use. Recent reasoning and safety-focused updates have reinforced its competitive positioning against Google’s Gemini advancements, which hold the next-highest share at 17.5%. OpenAI trails at 6.4% amid shifting priorities, while xAI and DeepSeek remain niche contenders. Upcoming benchmark releases or model updates in the coming weeks represent the main swing factors that could alter current trader consensus before the June resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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