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icon for O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?

O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?

icon for O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?

O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?

Sim

99% chance
Polymarket

$570,366 Vol.

Sim

99% chance
Polymarket

$570,366 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC third-round matches completed in March 2025, securing its seventh finals appearance. FIFA President Gianni Infantino repeatedly affirmed participation despite February 2026 military tensions involving the United States and Israel, which initially raised visa and security concerns. Recent resolutions include U.S. visa issuance for the squad in early June and FIFA-approved relocation of the training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico. These steps, combined with confirmed group-stage fixtures in Los Angeles and Seattle, underpin the near-certain trader consensus. Remaining variables that could alter the outcome include any abrupt diplomatic reversal or federation withdrawal in the final days before the June opening matches.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$570,366
Data de Término
2 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran qualified for the 2026 FIFA World Cup through AFC third-round matches completed in March 2025, securing its seventh finals appearance. FIFA President Gianni Infantino repeatedly affirmed participation despite February 2026 military tensions involving the United States and Israel, which initially raised visa and security concerns. Recent resolutions include U.S. visa issuance for the squad in early June and FIFA-approved relocation of the training base from Arizona to Tijuana, Mexico. These steps, combined with confirmed group-stage fixtures in Los Angeles and Seattle, underpin the near-certain trader consensus. Remaining variables that could alter the outcome include any abrupt diplomatic reversal or federation withdrawal in the final days before the June opening matches.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$570,366
Data de Término
2 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 24, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O Irã vai jogar na Copa do Mundo?" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?" has generated $570.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?" is "O Irã vai jogar na Copa do Mundo?" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O Irão vai jogar no Campeonato do Mundo?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.