Skip to main content
icon for Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?
Política·Venezuela

Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?

icon for Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?
Política·Venezuela

Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?

$1,242,779 Vol.

31 dez 2025
Polymarket

$1,242,779 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junho de 2026

$477,353 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro under narco-terrorism charges without issuing a formal declaration of war. Administration officials have repeatedly described the action as limited enforcement against drug trafficking rather than interstate conflict, and President Trump has stated explicitly that the United States is not at war with Venezuela. Diplomatic and consular relations were restored in early March 2026, accompanied by an oil supply agreement and steps toward sanctions relief. No congressional authorization for war has been sought or granted, and the ongoing political transition under interim authorities has focused on economic stabilization and prisoner releases rather than escalation. These developments have kept formal war declarations off the immediate legislative and executive agenda.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,242,779
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.The United States conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro under narco-terrorism charges without issuing a formal declaration of war. Administration officials have repeatedly described the action as limited enforcement against drug trafficking rather than interstate conflict, and President Trump has stated explicitly that the United States is not at war with Venezuela. Diplomatic and consular relations were restored in early March 2026, accompanied by an oil supply agreement and steps toward sanctions relief. No congressional authorization for war has been sought or granted, and the ongoing political transition under interim authorities has focused on economic stabilization and prisoner releases rather than escalation. These developments have kept formal war declarations off the immediate legislative and executive agenda.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,242,779
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Venezuela through an act of Congress between December 15, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 1%, followed by "31 de dezembro" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?" is "30 de junho de 2026" at just 1%, with "31 de dezembro" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Os EUA declararão oficialmente guerra à Venezuela até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.