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icon for Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?

Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?

icon for Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?

Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?

NOVO
31 ago 2026
Polymarket

$298 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de agosto

$199 Vol.

44%

7 de setembro

$99 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.**Mark Carney, Canada’s prime minister since 2025, and U.S. President Donald Trump have held multiple direct phone discussions in 2026 on trade, NATO, Iran, and Arctic security, including a call on August 18 ahead of tariff deadlines.** Trade negotiations collapsed in late August after Carney rejected U.S. demands that would have restricted Canada’s other trade deals and domestic policies, prompting Trump to announce 50% tariffs on select Canadian goods effective January 2026 and Carney to prepare matching retaliation. Recent public statements show heightened tensions, with limited evidence of further leader-level contact since the breakdown. Scheduled events such as potential follow-on trade talks, tariff implementation dates, and multilateral summits could prompt renewed outreach, while the pattern of direct leader engagement on bilateral economic and security matters shapes trader assessments of near-term communication.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.

If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$298
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.**Mark Carney, Canada’s prime minister since 2025, and U.S. President Donald Trump have held multiple direct phone discussions in 2026 on trade, NATO, Iran, and Arctic security, including a call on August 18 ahead of tariff deadlines.** Trade negotiations collapsed in late August after Carney rejected U.S. demands that would have restricted Canada’s other trade deals and domestic policies, prompting Trump to announce 50% tariffs on select Canadian goods effective January 2026 and Carney to prepare matching retaliation. Recent public statements show heightened tensions, with limited evidence of further leader-level contact since the breakdown. Scheduled events such as potential follow-on trade talks, tariff implementation dates, and multilateral summits could prompt renewed outreach, while the pattern of direct leader engagement on bilateral economic and security matters shapes trader assessments of near-term communication.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.

Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.

This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.

If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$298
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Carney speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between Mark Carney and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "7 de setembro" at 49%, followed by "31 de agosto" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?" is "7 de setembro" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31 de agosto" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump falará com Mark Carney até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.