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icon for Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?

Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?

icon for Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?

Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?

set 30

set 30

Sim

73% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

73% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Trump's established pattern of using the phrase in related statements support the 74% implied probability for "Yes."** President Trump has repeatedly ended Truth Social posts with “Praise be to Allah” during periods of heightened confrontation with Iran, including multiple instances in April, June, and July 2026 amid strikes, blockades, and demands over the Strait of Hormuz. As of late August, the broader conflict remains active, with stalled diplomacy, compensation demands, nuclear concerns, and threats of renewed military action continuing to generate public statements. Traders appear to view the roughly five-week window through September 30 as carrying elevated odds of another similar post, given the frequency of such rhetoric during active phases of the dispute. Resolution would depend on whether Trump issues a qualifying public statement by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$42
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Trump's established pattern of using the phrase in related statements support the 74% implied probability for "Yes."** President Trump has repeatedly ended Truth Social posts with “Praise be to Allah” during periods of heightened confrontation with Iran, including multiple instances in April, June, and July 2026 amid strikes, blockades, and demands over the Strait of Hormuz. As of late August, the broader conflict remains active, with stalled diplomacy, compensation demands, nuclear concerns, and threats of renewed military action continuing to generate public statements. Traders appear to view the roughly five-week window through September 30 as carrying elevated odds of another similar post, given the frequency of such rhetoric during active phases of the dispute. Resolution would depend on whether Trump issues a qualifying public statement by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Volume
$42
Data de Término
30 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump irá louvar Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?" at 73%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?" is "Trump irá louvar Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump louvará Alá novamente até 30 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.