Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s amid the extended U.S. conflict with Iran, which began earlier this year and has coincided with rising public concern over its duration, gas prices, and broader economic effects. Traders appear focused on whether approval stabilizes near 37 or edges higher by August 28, with outcomes clustered tightly as no single catalyst has yet produced decisive movement. Key variables include upcoming economic data releases, any diplomatic signals on Iran, and standard polling volatility in the final week. Historical second-term patterns and issue-specific ratings on the economy and foreign policy continue to anchor expectations in this narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<37,0 45%
37,0–37,4 45%
37,5–37,9 45%
38,0–38,4 45%
<37,0
45%
37,0–37,4
45%
37,5–37,9
45%
38,0–38,4
45%
38,5–38,9
45%
39,0+
44%
<37,0 45%
37,0–37,4 45%
37,5–37,9 45%
38,0–38,4 45%
<37,0
45%
37,0–37,4
45%
37,5–37,9
45%
38,0–38,4
45%
38,5–38,9
45%
39,0+
44%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows President Trump's job approval hovering in the low-to-mid 30s amid the extended U.S. conflict with Iran, which began earlier this year and has coincided with rising public concern over its duration, gas prices, and broader economic effects. Traders appear focused on whether approval stabilizes near 37 or edges higher by August 28, with outcomes clustered tightly as no single catalyst has yet produced decisive movement. Key variables include upcoming economic data releases, any diplomatic signals on Iran, and standard polling volatility in the final week. Historical second-term patterns and issue-specific ratings on the economy and foreign policy continue to anchor expectations in this narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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