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Taxas Fed previsões e probabilidades

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Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

98%

Sem alteração

$27M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

72%

0 (0 bps)

$26M Vol.

$421K today

$1M Liq.

73

Ends em 8 meses

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

100%

30 de junho

$5M Vol.

$325K today

$316K Liq.

109

Ends há cerca de 17 horas

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

93%

Sem mudança

$5M Vol.

$77.1K today

$741K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

96%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$1M Vol.

$64.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

99%

May 15–22

$111K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$81.2K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

43%

31 de dezembro

$320K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 8 meses

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

31%

Reunião de Dezembro

$2M Vol.

$156K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

28%

Sim

$1M Vol.

$52.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

3%

$7.4K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Trump tentará demitir Powell como presidente do Fed antes que ele saia?

Trump tentará demitir Powell como presidente do Fed antes que ele saia?

1%

Sim

$91.6K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

63%

3,75%

$7M Vol.

$131K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

45%

0

$11.4K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

32%

↓ 3,25%

$1M Vol.

$119K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

78%

No change

$533 Vol.

$221K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

93%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$48.7K Vol.

$49.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Quão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?

Quão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?

87%

4,5%

$200K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Aumento da taxa do Fed em...?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em...?

30%

Reunião de Outubro

$148K Vol.

$61.1K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Redução da taxa de emergência do Fed antes de 2027?

Redução da taxa de emergência do Fed antes de 2027?

13%

Sim

$104K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Taxas Fed that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Decisão do Fed em junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Redução da taxa de emergência do Fed antes de 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Decisão do Fed em junho?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Sem alteração. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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