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Governo Dos EUA previsões e probabilidades

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US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

15%

June 30

$161K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

16

Ends em 3 dias

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

82%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$327K Vol.

$58.3K Liq.

12

Ends em 4 meses

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$114K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

3

Ends em 6 meses

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

9%

December 31

$61M Vol.

$972K today

$1M Liq.

1,608

Ends em 6 meses

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

98%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$234K today

$312K Liq.

309

Ends em 4 dias

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

13%

December 31

$28M Vol.

$139K today

$511K Liq.

205

Ends em 6 meses

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

49%

Switzerland

$250K Vol.

$76.0K today

$578K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

1%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

$13M Vol.

$80.5K today

$396K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

66%

July 31

$556K Vol.

$161K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

100%

$1M Vol.

$144K Liq.

72

Ends em 1 dia

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$153K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

4%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$59.7K today

$60.5K Liq.

110

Ends em 2 dias

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$630K Vol.

$228K Liq.

27

Ends em 6 meses

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

5%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$152K Liq.

69

Ends em 6 meses

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

4%

$368K Vol.

$85.4K Liq.

23

Ends em 6 meses

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

38%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$80.3K Liq.

89

Ends em 6 meses

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

1%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$41.7K Liq.

91

Ends em 1 dia

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

30%

August 31

$29.9K Vol.

$38.5K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?

79%

Steve Witkoff

$13.8K Vol.

$123K Liq.

1

Ends em 2 meses

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

8%

Before 2027

$3M Vol.

$85.8K Liq.

43

Ends em 1 dia

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 89 active markets for Governo Dos EUA that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $131.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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