Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government following the 2025 federal election. Since November 2025, four Conservatives—Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and Marilyn Gladu—plus one NDP member, Lori Idlout, have joined the Liberal caucus, citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a preference for stable governance. These shifts, combined with April 2026 by-elections, positioned the Liberals near or at a majority. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter intent, while public opinion remains divided. Traders monitor ongoing caucus stability, potential further defections, and any scheduled parliamentary sessions or leadership reviews that could influence additional switches before the next general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
May 31
16%
$1,868 Объем
May 31
$255 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government following the 2025 federal election. Since November 2025, four Conservatives—Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and Marilyn Gladu—plus one NDP member, Lori Idlout, have joined the Liberal caucus, citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a preference for stable governance. These shifts, combined with April 2026 by-elections, positioned the Liberals near or at a majority. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter intent, while public opinion remains divided. Traders monitor ongoing caucus stability, potential further defections, and any scheduled parliamentary sessions or leadership reviews that could influence additional switches before the next general election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Объем
$1,868Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government following the 2025 federal election. Since November 2025, four Conservatives—Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and Marilyn Gladu—plus one NDP member, Lori Idlout, have joined the Liberal caucus, citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a preference for stable governance. These shifts, combined with April 2026 by-elections, positioned the Liberals near or at a majority. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter intent, while public opinion remains divided. Traders monitor ongoing caucus stability, potential further defections, and any scheduled parliamentary sessions or leadership reviews that could influence additional switches before the next general election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,868Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent floor crossings by opposition MPs have strengthened Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal minority government following the 2025 federal election. Since November 2025, four Conservatives—Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux, and Marilyn Gladu—plus one NDP member, Lori Idlout, have joined the Liberal caucus, citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and a preference for stable governance. These shifts, combined with April 2026 by-elections, positioned the Liberals near or at a majority. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter intent, while public opinion remains divided. Traders monitor ongoing caucus stability, potential further defections, and any scheduled parliamentary sessions or leadership reviews that could influence additional switches before the next general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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