Canada’s advance GDP estimate for July 2026, released August 28, showed output essentially unchanged month-over-month, aligning with the 40.5% market-implied probability for a 0.0–0.1% print. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by contractions in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% increase in June and robust 0.8% quarterly expansion in Q2. Broader context includes the Bank of Canada’s steady 2.25% policy rate amid contained inflation and modest 2026 growth projections near 0.7%, alongside a narrowing July trade surplus. The official July figure, due September 29, will resolve the contract and may incorporate revisions to the preliminary data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,0 до 0,1% 43%
0,2 до 0,3% 24%
<0,0% 20%
0,4 до 0,5% 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 сент. 2026 г.
<0,0%
20%
0,0 до 0,1%
43%
0,2 до 0,3%
24%
0,4 до 0,5%
6%
0,6 до 0,7%
5%
0,8%+
3%
0,0 до 0,1% 43%
0,2 до 0,3% 24%
<0,0% 20%
0,4 до 0,5% 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
29 сент. 2026 г.
<0,0%
$518 Объем
20%
0,0 до 0,1%
$73 Объем
43%
0,2 до 0,3%
$16 Объем
24%
0,4 до 0,5%
$1,052 Объем
6%
0,6 до 0,7%
$55 Объем
5%
0,8%+
$999 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s advance GDP estimate for July 2026, released August 28, showed output essentially unchanged month-over-month, aligning with the 40.5% market-implied probability for a 0.0–0.1% print. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by contractions in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% increase in June and robust 0.8% quarterly expansion in Q2. Broader context includes the Bank of Canada’s steady 2.25% policy rate amid contained inflation and modest 2026 growth projections near 0.7%, alongside a narrowing July trade surplus. The official July figure, due September 29, will resolve the contract and may incorporate revisions to the preliminary data.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Объем
$2,712Дата окончания
29 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s advance GDP estimate for July 2026, released August 28, showed output essentially unchanged month-over-month, aligning with the 40.5% market-implied probability for a 0.0–0.1% print. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by contractions in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% increase in June and robust 0.8% quarterly expansion in Q2. Broader context includes the Bank of Canada’s steady 2.25% policy rate amid contained inflation and modest 2026 growth projections near 0.7%, alongside a narrowing July trade surplus. The official July figure, due September 29, will resolve the contract and may incorporate revisions to the preliminary data.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending July 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for July 2026, scheduled for release on September 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Объем
$2,712Дата окончания
29 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s advance GDP estimate for July 2026, released August 28, showed output essentially unchanged month-over-month, aligning with the 40.5% market-implied probability for a 0.0–0.1% print. Gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services were offset by contractions in retail trade and manufacturing, following a revised 0.3% increase in June and robust 0.8% quarterly expansion in Q2. Broader context includes the Bank of Canada’s steady 2.25% policy rate amid contained inflation and modest 2026 growth projections near 0.7%, alongside a narrowing July trade surplus. The official July figure, due September 29, will resolve the contract and may incorporate revisions to the preliminary data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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