The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNo IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%
200–250B <1%
<150B <1%
150–200B <1%
$278,317 Объем
$278,317 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<150B
<1%
150–200B
<1%
200–250B
1%
250–300B
<1%
300B+
<1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 100.0%
200–250B <1%
<150B <1%
150–200B <1%
$278,317 Объем
$278,317 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<150B
$100,064 Объем
<1%
150–200B
$42,952 Объем
<1%
200–250B
$31,025 Объем
1%
250–300B
$14,222 Объем
<1%
300B+
$19,266 Объем
<1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$70,789 Объем
100%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Объем
$278,317Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$278,317Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 99.4% market-implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO closing by June 30, 2026, reflects the absence of required regulatory filings, FHFA approvals, or lead underwriter mandates despite earlier 2025–2026 discussions of a potential $30 billion equity offering. Freddie Mac remains under conservatorship, with any exit requiring resolution of capital standards, implicit guarantee questions, and coordination between Treasury, FHFA, and the White House—steps that historically span multiple quarters. Recent developments, including FHFA Director Bill Pulte’s June 30 transition to acting DNI and President Trump’s June 5 comments emphasizing “no rush,” have further reduced near-term momentum. A successful closing in the remaining 13 days would demand an unprecedented acceleration of administrative, legal, and market processes with no precedent in GSE reform history.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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