Post-frontal warming after a recent cold front passage has elevated trader focus on Cape Town's August 13 maximum, with South African Weather Service and ensemble models converging on 25–28°C under clear skies and light easterly to north-westerly winds. This exceeds the typical August high of roughly 17–18°C, driving the market's tight clustering at 27°C (42.5%) and 28°C (33%). Subtle differences in forecast wind-shift timing, boundary-layer mixing, and peak solar heating create the 1°C spread between leaders, while official station measurements will determine resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in post-frontal recovery to assess the narrow probability band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 13 августа?
27°C 42%
28°C 40%
29°C 14%
26°C 7%
$22,946 Объем
$22,946 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
42%
28°C
40%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 40%
29°C 14%
26°C 7%
$22,946 Объем
$22,946 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
42%
28°C
40%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Post-frontal warming after a recent cold front passage has elevated trader focus on Cape Town's August 13 maximum, with South African Weather Service and ensemble models converging on 25–28°C under clear skies and light easterly to north-westerly winds. This exceeds the typical August high of roughly 17–18°C, driving the market's tight clustering at 27°C (42.5%) and 28°C (33%). Subtle differences in forecast wind-shift timing, boundary-layer mixing, and peak solar heating create the 1°C spread between leaders, while official station measurements will determine resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in post-frontal recovery to assess the narrow probability band.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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