Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 34°C across urban areas under sunny periods and isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage earlier in the week that produced a record 36.9°C reading. Post-storm subsidence combined with added atmospheric moisture has tempered peak heating relative to typical August climatology of 32–33°C, creating tight differentiation between 33°C and 34°C outcomes as model consensus clusters in this narrow band. Urban heat-island effects and localized variability sustain the market's balanced weighting, while probabilities for 35°C or above stay minimal without renewed clear-sky intensification ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 августа?
34°C 62%
33°C 34%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
$69,882 Объем
$69,882 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
44%
34°C
58%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 34%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
$69,882 Объем
$69,882 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
44%
34°C
58%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daytime maximum near 34°C across urban areas under sunny periods and isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's passage earlier in the week that produced a record 36.9°C reading. Post-storm subsidence combined with added atmospheric moisture has tempered peak heating relative to typical August climatology of 32–33°C, creating tight differentiation between 33°C and 34°C outcomes as model consensus clusters in this narrow band. Urban heat-island effects and localized variability sustain the market's balanced weighting, while probabilities for 35°C or above stay minimal without renewed clear-sky intensification ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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