Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C under a southwesterly airstream with sunny periods, isolated showers, and lingering subsidence from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that had driven prior extremes above 36°C. Midsummer climatology, urban heat-island effects, and model consensus on moderate cloud cover and wind patterns support this narrow range, aligning with the market’s near-certain 33°C outcome backed by trader capital. Afternoon convection or slight increases in cloud cover could keep the peak at or below this threshold, while unexpected clearing would risk pushing readings toward 34°C; probabilities outside 32–34°C remain minimal given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 13 августа?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$102,569 Объем
$102,569 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$102,569 Объем
$102,569 Объем
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations indicate a daytime maximum near 33°C under a southwesterly airstream with sunny periods, isolated showers, and lingering subsidence from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that had driven prior extremes above 36°C. Midsummer climatology, urban heat-island effects, and model consensus on moderate cloud cover and wind patterns support this narrow range, aligning with the market’s near-certain 33°C outcome backed by trader capital. Afternoon convection or slight increases in cloud cover could keep the peak at or below this threshold, while unexpected clearing would risk pushing readings toward 34°C; probabilities outside 32–34°C remain minimal given current steering patterns and moisture levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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