**Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 31°C on August 15, 2026, at the headquarters station, driving near-certain market consensus around this outcome.** Following the extreme heatwave fueled by Tropical Cyclone Dolphin in early August—which produced record readings above 36°C at the same site—atmospheric conditions stabilized with increased cloud cover and moderating winds, preventing further intensification. HKO data, the authoritative reference for such markets, show peak temperatures reached 31°C amid typical summer humidity levels near 60–80%, consistent with regional model outputs and neighboring station reports. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified observations, as revisions to official maxima are rare once daily summaries are finalized. Only an unprecedented data correction or redefinition of the measurement protocol could realistically alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 15 августа?
31°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$283,606 Объем
$283,606 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$283,606 Объем
$283,606 Объем
15 авг. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$5,885 Объем
<1%
28°C
$33,529 Объем
<1%
29°C
$34,869 Объем
<1%
30°C
$24,515 Объем
<1%
31°C
$43,799 Объем
100%
32°C
$45,137 Объем
<1%
33°C
$38,937 Объем
<1%
34°C
$28,957 Объем
<1%
35°C
$4,084 Объем
<1%
36°C
$2,633 Объем
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,260 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 31°C on August 15, 2026, at the headquarters station, driving near-certain market consensus around this outcome.** Following the extreme heatwave fueled by Tropical Cyclone Dolphin in early August—which produced record readings above 36°C at the same site—atmospheric conditions stabilized with increased cloud cover and moderating winds, preventing further intensification. HKO data, the authoritative reference for such markets, show peak temperatures reached 31°C amid typical summer humidity levels near 60–80%, consistent with regional model outputs and neighboring station reports. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified observations, as revisions to official maxima are rare once daily summaries are finalized. Only an unprecedented data correction or redefinition of the measurement protocol could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$283,606Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 31°C on August 15, 2026, at the headquarters station, driving near-certain market consensus around this outcome.** Following the extreme heatwave fueled by Tropical Cyclone Dolphin in early August—which produced record readings above 36°C at the same site—atmospheric conditions stabilized with increased cloud cover and moderating winds, preventing further intensification. HKO data, the authoritative reference for such markets, show peak temperatures reached 31°C amid typical summer humidity levels near 60–80%, consistent with regional model outputs and neighboring station reports. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified observations, as revisions to official maxima are rare once daily summaries are finalized. Only an unprecedented data correction or redefinition of the measurement protocol could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$283,606Дата окончания
15 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 31°C on August 15, 2026, at the headquarters station, driving near-certain market consensus around this outcome.** Following the extreme heatwave fueled by Tropical Cyclone Dolphin in early August—which produced record readings above 36°C at the same site—atmospheric conditions stabilized with increased cloud cover and moderating winds, preventing further intensification. HKO data, the authoritative reference for such markets, show peak temperatures reached 31°C amid typical summer humidity levels near 60–80%, consistent with regional model outputs and neighboring station reports. Trader positioning reflects high confidence in these verified observations, as revisions to official maxima are rare once daily summaries are finalized. Only an unprecedented data correction or redefinition of the measurement protocol could realistically alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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