**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 6 августа?
28°C 52%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
25%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$397 Объем
<1%
23°C
$439 Объем
<1%
24°C
$172 Объем
<1%
25°C
$58 Объем
<1%
26°C
$106 Объем
5%
27°C
$300 Объем
20%
28°C
$875 Объем
52%
29°C
$218 Объем
25%
30°C
$72 Объем
3%
31°C
$96 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$68 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,800Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,800Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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