Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 14 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 14 августа?
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$105,536 Объем
$105,536 Объем
14 авг. 2026 г.
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$105,536 Объем
$105,536 Объем
14 авг. 2026 г.
35°C or below
$4,507 Объем
No
36°C
$3,421 Объем
No
37°C
$14,256 Объем
No
38°C
$29,413 Объем
No
39°C
$19,653 Объем
Yes
40°C
$15,362 Объем
No
41°C
$7,464 Объем
No
42°C
$3,929 Объем
No
43°C
$3,060 Объем
No
44°C
$4,023 Объем
No
45°C or higher
$447 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$105,536Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$105,536Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies like Météo-France highlight a dominant high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, driving ensemble model consensus toward a daytime maximum near 39°C in Paris on August 14. Persistent soil-moisture deficits from the ongoing heat wave further amplify surface heating, with tight clustering in numerical weather prediction runs supporting the market's near-certain implied probability for exactly 39°C as the official high. Historical August baselines around 25–28°C underscore the anomaly, though resolution hinges on standardized observations at Paris-Montsouris. Minor shifts in cloud cover, localized convection, or slight model adjustments could still allow 38°C or 40°C outcomes if boundary-layer mixing evolves differently than projected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы