Persistent marine layer clouds combined with moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current are suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco, aligning National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance with a highest temperature near 69–71°F on August 16. A strong temperature inversion and persistent sea breezes limit solar insolation, holding readings below the 73°F August normal at SFO and driving the 45.5% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Minor model spreads keep a secondary 28.5% chance for 72–73°F if the stratus erodes earlier than expected, while lingering clouds support the 17.5% probability on 68–69°F. No anomalous warming signals appear in recent observations, consistent with typical summer climatology.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 16 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 16 августа?
70-71°F 51%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 18%
74-75°F 6%
$9,399 Объем
$9,399 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
51%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F или выше
<1%
70-71°F 51%
72-73°F 27%
68-69°F 18%
74-75°F 6%
$9,399 Объем
$9,399 Объем
16 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$576 Объем
1%
66-67°F
$259 Объем
3%
68-69°F
$684 Объем
18%
70-71°F
$892 Объем
51%
72-73°F
$2,046 Объем
27%
74-75°F
$1,755 Объем
6%
76-77°F
$1,743 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$552 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$377 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$293 Объем
<1%
84°F или выше
$444 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds combined with moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current are suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco, aligning National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance with a highest temperature near 69–71°F on August 16. A strong temperature inversion and persistent sea breezes limit solar insolation, holding readings below the 73°F August normal at SFO and driving the 45.5% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Minor model spreads keep a secondary 28.5% chance for 72–73°F if the stratus erodes earlier than expected, while lingering clouds support the 17.5% probability on 68–69°F. No anomalous warming signals appear in recent observations, consistent with typical summer climatology.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Объем
$9,399Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer clouds combined with moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current are suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco, aligning National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance with a highest temperature near 69–71°F on August 16. A strong temperature inversion and persistent sea breezes limit solar insolation, holding readings below the 73°F August normal at SFO and driving the 45.5% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Minor model spreads keep a secondary 28.5% chance for 72–73°F if the stratus erodes earlier than expected, while lingering clouds support the 17.5% probability on 68–69°F. No anomalous warming signals appear in recent observations, consistent with typical summer climatology.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,399Дата окончания
16 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer clouds combined with moderate onshore flow from the cool California Current are suppressing daytime heating across San Francisco, aligning National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance with a highest temperature near 69–71°F on August 16. A strong temperature inversion and persistent sea breezes limit solar insolation, holding readings below the 73°F August normal at SFO and driving the 45.5% market-implied probability on the 70–71°F bin. Minor model spreads keep a secondary 28.5% chance for 72–73°F if the stratus erodes earlier than expected, while lingering clouds support the 17.5% probability on 68–69°F. No anomalous warming signals appear in recent observations, consistent with typical summer climatology.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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