Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 9 августа?
75°F или ниже 44%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 20%
80–81°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
44%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
20%
80–81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
75°F или ниже 44%
76-77°F 29%
78-79°F 20%
80–81°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$413 Объем
44%
76-77°F
$190 Объем
29%
78-79°F
$236 Объем
20%
80–81°F
$302 Объем
7%
82-83°F
$252 Объем
3%
84-85°F
$17 Объем
1%
86-87°F
$116 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$120 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$135 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$301 Объем
<1%
94°F или выше
$364 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$2,445Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,445Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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