Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over São Paulo have suppressed daytime heating ahead of September 15, keeping recent highs near 15–17°C despite the spring transition. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on a modest rebound to 17–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and reduced precipitation, reflecting limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from lingering moisture. This places 20°C as the market leader at 30.5% implied probability, followed closely by 19°C, consistent with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and historical September variability around a 23°C seasonal mean. Updated model runs and any clearing trends will be key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 15 сентября?
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 18%
18°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
23%
20°C
28%
21°C
18%
22°C
7%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 18%
18°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$273 Объем
1%
16°C
$486 Объем
1%
17°C
$151 Объем
5%
18°C
$149 Объем
15%
19°C
$29 Объем
23%
20°C
$191 Объем
28%
21°C
$382 Объем
18%
22°C
$86 Объем
7%
23°C
$3 Объем
3%
24°C
$0 Объем
3%
25°C или выше
$210 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over São Paulo have suppressed daytime heating ahead of September 15, keeping recent highs near 15–17°C despite the spring transition. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on a modest rebound to 17–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and reduced precipitation, reflecting limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from lingering moisture. This places 20°C as the market leader at 30.5% implied probability, followed closely by 19°C, consistent with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and historical September variability around a 23°C seasonal mean. Updated model runs and any clearing trends will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Объем
$1,960Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over São Paulo have suppressed daytime heating ahead of September 15, keeping recent highs near 15–17°C despite the spring transition. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on a modest rebound to 17–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and reduced precipitation, reflecting limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from lingering moisture. This places 20°C as the market leader at 30.5% implied probability, followed closely by 19°C, consistent with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and historical September variability around a 23°C seasonal mean. Updated model runs and any clearing trends will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,960Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover over São Paulo have suppressed daytime heating ahead of September 15, keeping recent highs near 15–17°C despite the spring transition. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on a modest rebound to 17–20°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and reduced precipitation, reflecting limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from lingering moisture. This places 20°C as the market leader at 30.5% implied probability, followed closely by 19°C, consistent with the narrow range of ensemble guidance and historical September variability around a 23°C seasonal mean. Updated model runs and any clearing trends will be key near-term drivers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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