Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate surpassing $65 billion by July and projected above $100 billion by year-end—have positioned the Claude developer for a near-term IPO, with recent reporting confirming a shift from an October target to November 2026. Advisors cite the need to present full third-quarter results and finalize a $15 billion credit facility before the roadshow, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 48% November and 22.6% December implied probabilities. A potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise would set records, though market conditions, AI safety debates, and competition from OpenAI introduce timing uncertainty. The public prospectus is now expected in late September, with marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of the November midterms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНоябрь 2026 48.0%
Декабрь 2026 года 22.6%
Январь 2027 года 9.4%
Март 2027 года 4.9%
$252,163 Объем
$252,163 Объем
Сентябрь 2026
<1%
Октябрь 2026 года
3%
Ноябрь 2026
48%
Декабрь 2026 года
23%
Январь 2027 года
9%
Февраль 2027 года
4%
Март 2027 года
5%
Апрель 2027 года
2%
Май 2027
1%
Июнь 2027 года
1%
Июль 2027
1%
Август 2027 года
<1%
Сентябрь 2027
1%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
1%
Декабрь 2027 года
1%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
2%
Ноябрь 2026 48.0%
Декабрь 2026 года 22.6%
Январь 2027 года 9.4%
Март 2027 года 4.9%
$252,163 Объем
$252,163 Объем
Сентябрь 2026
<1%
Октябрь 2026 года
3%
Ноябрь 2026
48%
Декабрь 2026 года
23%
Январь 2027 года
9%
Февраль 2027 года
4%
Март 2027 года
5%
Апрель 2027 года
2%
Май 2027
1%
Июнь 2027 года
1%
Июль 2027
1%
Август 2027 года
<1%
Сентябрь 2027
1%
Октябрь 2027 года
1%
Ноябрь 2027 года
1%
Декабрь 2027 года
1%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate surpassing $65 billion by July and projected above $100 billion by year-end—have positioned the Claude developer for a near-term IPO, with recent reporting confirming a shift from an October target to November 2026. Advisors cite the need to present full third-quarter results and finalize a $15 billion credit facility before the roadshow, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 48% November and 22.6% December implied probabilities. A potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise would set records, though market conditions, AI safety debates, and competition from OpenAI introduce timing uncertainty. The public prospectus is now expected in late September, with marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of the November midterms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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