Current numerical weather models from agencies and services such as Yr.no and PredictWind project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the city’s 870 m elevation and typical early-September radiative cooling at night. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 14°C or below (48%) and 24°C or higher (45%), with mid-range outcomes clustered around 24–26%, reflecting trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty rather than the consensus mean. Key differentiating factors include potential variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late adjustments to steering patterns that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling in this continental setting. Official minimum readings from local stations, expected within hours of resolution, will settle the outcome amid inherently narrow ensemble spreads this close to the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 3 сентября?
24°C или выше 90%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
18°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
48%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
49%
19°C
49%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
90%
24°C или выше 90%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
18°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
48%
15°C
$0 Объем
27%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C
$0 Объем
26%
18°C
$5 Объем
49%
19°C
$5 Объем
49%
20°C
$5 Объем
50%
21°C
$5 Объем
50%
22°C
$5 Объем
<1%
23°C
$5 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$5 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies and services such as Yr.no and PredictWind project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the city’s 870 m elevation and typical early-September radiative cooling at night. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 14°C or below (48%) and 24°C or higher (45%), with mid-range outcomes clustered around 24–26%, reflecting trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty rather than the consensus mean. Key differentiating factors include potential variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late adjustments to steering patterns that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling in this continental setting. Official minimum readings from local stations, expected within hours of resolution, will settle the outcome amid inherently narrow ensemble spreads this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$35Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from agencies and services such as Yr.no and PredictWind project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the city’s 870 m elevation and typical early-September radiative cooling at night. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 14°C or below (48%) and 24°C or higher (45%), with mid-range outcomes clustered around 24–26%, reflecting trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty rather than the consensus mean. Key differentiating factors include potential variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late adjustments to steering patterns that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling in this continental setting. Official minimum readings from local stations, expected within hours of resolution, will settle the outcome amid inherently narrow ensemble spreads this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$35Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from agencies and services such as Yr.no and PredictWind project a minimum temperature near 16–17°C for Ankara on September 3 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the city’s 870 m elevation and typical early-September radiative cooling at night. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 14°C or below (48%) and 24°C or higher (45%), with mid-range outcomes clustered around 24–26%, reflecting trader emphasis on forecast uncertainty rather than the consensus mean. Key differentiating factors include potential variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and any late adjustments to steering patterns that could enhance or suppress overnight cooling in this continental setting. Official minimum readings from local stations, expected within hours of resolution, will settle the outcome amid inherently narrow ensemble spreads this close to the event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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