Recent ensemble forecasts from major models highlight substantial nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds, positioning the 13°C-or-below outcome near even odds while spreading probability across 14–17°C bins. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation amplifies overnight temperature drops in a continental September regime, where historical minima average near 14–16°C. Stable high-pressure patterns persisting through early September have kept humidity low and skies mostly clear, favoring stronger cooling than daytime highs near 29–30°C would suggest. Traders monitor upcoming Turkish Meteorological Service updates and station data from Esenboga, recognizing that small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model bias could alter the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Анкаре 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Анкаре 5 сентября?
23°C или выше 59%
13°C или ниже 50%
17°C 48%
14°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
50%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
48%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
13%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C или выше
59%
23°C или выше 59%
13°C или ниже 50%
17°C 48%
14°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$0 Объем
50%
14°C
$0 Объем
28%
15°C
$0 Объем
28%
16°C
$0 Объем
26%
17°C
$0 Объем
48%
18°C
$0 Объем
2%
19°C
$0 Объем
12%
20°C
$0 Объем
13%
21°C
$0 Объем
7%
22°C
$0 Объем
7%
23°C или выше
$0 Объем
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models highlight substantial nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds, positioning the 13°C-or-below outcome near even odds while spreading probability across 14–17°C bins. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation amplifies overnight temperature drops in a continental September regime, where historical minima average near 14–16°C. Stable high-pressure patterns persisting through early September have kept humidity low and skies mostly clear, favoring stronger cooling than daytime highs near 29–30°C would suggest. Traders monitor upcoming Turkish Meteorological Service updates and station data from Esenboga, recognizing that small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model bias could alter the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models highlight substantial nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds, positioning the 13°C-or-below outcome near even odds while spreading probability across 14–17°C bins. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation amplifies overnight temperature drops in a continental September regime, where historical minima average near 14–16°C. Stable high-pressure patterns persisting through early September have kept humidity low and skies mostly clear, favoring stronger cooling than daytime highs near 29–30°C would suggest. Traders monitor upcoming Turkish Meteorological Service updates and station data from Esenboga, recognizing that small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model bias could alter the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models highlight substantial nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds, positioning the 13°C-or-below outcome near even odds while spreading probability across 14–17°C bins. Ankara’s inland plateau location at roughly 900 m elevation amplifies overnight temperature drops in a continental September regime, where historical minima average near 14–16°C. Stable high-pressure patterns persisting through early September have kept humidity low and skies mostly clear, favoring stronger cooling than daytime highs near 29–30°C would suggest. Traders monitor upcoming Turkish Meteorological Service updates and station data from Esenboga, recognizing that small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or model bias could alter the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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