Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing will experience clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 2 under stable high pressure, with light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight. Current model consensus points to overnight lows near 19–21°C, consistent with early September climatology where average minima hover around 18–20°C before seasonal decline accelerates. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–21°C because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed—driven by subtle steering patterns—can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this trajectory, though final China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date may narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 2 сентября?
20°C 86%
19°C 85%
15°C 81%
18°C 79%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
46%
15°C
81%
16°C
29%
17°C
47%
18°C
79%
19°C
85%
20°C
86%
21°C
77%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
48%
20°C 86%
19°C 85%
15°C 81%
18°C 79%
13°C or below
15%
14°C
46%
15°C
81%
16°C
29%
17°C
47%
18°C
79%
19°C
85%
20°C
86%
21°C
77%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Beijing will experience clear to mostly sunny conditions on September 2 under stable high pressure, with light winds favoring radiative cooling overnight. Current model consensus points to overnight lows near 19–21°C, consistent with early September climatology where average minima hover around 18–20°C before seasonal decline accelerates. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–21°C because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed—driven by subtle steering patterns—can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this trajectory, though final China Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date may narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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