**Forecast models and current observations position 20–21°C as the most likely minimum temperatures for Istanbul on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes.** Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 15–28 km/h, and high pressure have produced a typical early-September diurnal range, with daytime highs near 25–28°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and local meteorological updates, converge on a low of 19–20.3°C, consistent with the 18.1°C minimum recorded the previous day and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate temperature drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 70% probability for 21°C and 47% for 20°C captures this model agreement and the limited scope for further cooling under stable atmospheric conditions. Resolution will depend on official station readings, with any late adjustments to wind or humidity the primary variables that could shift the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Стамбуле 9 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Стамбуле 9 сентября?
18°C 3.2%
17°C 1.8%
16°C или ниже 1.1%
22°C <1%
$1,825 Объем
$1,825 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
30%
20°C
-
21°C
70%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
18°C 3.2%
17°C 1.8%
16°C или ниже 1.1%
22°C <1%
$1,825 Объем
$1,825 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$92 Объем
1%
17°C
$76 Объем
2%
18°C
$103 Объем
3%
19°C
$40 Объем
30%
20°C
$30 Объем
-
21°C
$275 Объем
70%
22°C
$449 Объем
<1%
23°C
$120 Объем
<1%
24°C
$202 Объем
<1%
25°C
$214 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$225 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position 20–21°C as the most likely minimum temperatures for Istanbul on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes.**
Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 15–28 km/h, and high pressure have produced a typical early-September diurnal range, with daytime highs near 25–28°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and local meteorological updates, converge on a low of 19–20.3°C, consistent with the 18.1°C minimum recorded the previous day and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate temperature drops.
Trader consensus reflected in the 70% probability for 21°C and 47% for 20°C captures this model agreement and the limited scope for further cooling under stable atmospheric conditions. Resolution will depend on official station readings, with any late adjustments to wind or humidity the primary variables that could shift the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,825Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position 20–21°C as the most likely minimum temperatures for Istanbul on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes.**
Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 15–28 km/h, and high pressure have produced a typical early-September diurnal range, with daytime highs near 25–28°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and local meteorological updates, converge on a low of 19–20.3°C, consistent with the 18.1°C minimum recorded the previous day and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate temperature drops.
Trader consensus reflected in the 70% probability for 21°C and 47% for 20°C captures this model agreement and the limited scope for further cooling under stable atmospheric conditions. Resolution will depend on official station readings, with any late adjustments to wind or humidity the primary variables that could shift the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,825Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current observations position 20–21°C as the most likely minimum temperatures for Istanbul on September 9, 2026, aligning with the market’s strong implied probabilities for those outcomes.** Clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds around 15–28 km/h, and high pressure have produced a typical early-September diurnal range, with daytime highs near 25–28°C giving way to overnight radiative cooling. Multiple sources, including GFS-based guidance and local meteorological updates, converge on a low of 19–20.3°C, consistent with the 18.1°C minimum recorded the previous day and the absence of cloud cover or precipitation that would otherwise moderate temperature drops. Trader consensus reflected in the 70% probability for 21°C and 47% for 20°C captures this model agreement and the limited scope for further cooling under stable atmospheric conditions. Resolution will depend on official station readings, with any late adjustments to wind or humidity the primary variables that could shift the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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