Official forecasts from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight minimum temperature near 18°C in London on August 13, 2026, amid a heatwave with clear skies, light easterly winds, and daytime highs reaching 35–37°C. This positioning aligns with climatological norms for mid-August lows around 13–16°C but elevated by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions through the night. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or rapid frontal passage, could lower readings toward 17°C or below, though current observations and ensemble guidance show low probability of such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 13 августа?
18°C 99.4%
17°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$16,300 Объем
$16,300 Объем
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
18°C 99.4%
17°C <1%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
$16,300 Объем
$16,300 Объем
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and other agencies indicate an overnight minimum temperature near 18°C in London on August 13, 2026, amid a heatwave with clear skies, light easterly winds, and daytime highs reaching 35–37°C. This positioning aligns with climatological norms for mid-August lows around 13–16°C but elevated by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability reflects model agreement on these conditions through the night. Unlikely shifts, such as increased cloud cover, stronger winds, or rapid frontal passage, could lower readings toward 17°C or below, though current observations and ensemble guidance show low probability of such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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