Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 августа?
22°C 52%
21°C 29%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
29%
22°C
52%
23°C
14%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
22°C 52%
21°C 29%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$586 Объем
1%
17°C
$90 Объем
<1%
18°C
$200 Объем
1%
19°C
$98 Объем
2%
20°C
$404 Объем
5%
21°C
$745 Объем
29%
22°C
$2,393 Объем
52%
23°C
$491 Объем
14%
24°C
$117 Объем
2%
25°C
$131 Объем
1%
26°C или выше
$316 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Объем
$5,571Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,571Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to an overnight minimum near 19–20°C for London on August 14 amid a persistent high-pressure heatwave and warm southeasterly flow. Traders have priced 21–23°C as the clear favorites because clear skies and light winds are expected to limit radiative cooling while the anomalously warm air mass—part of the UK’s record-warm summer—keeps surface temperatures elevated. Urban heat-island effects in central London further suppress overnight drops relative to rural sites. Latest model runs show only modest cooling potential before sunrise, with little sign of a marine or frontal intrusion that could pull readings into the upper teens. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through the evening of the 13th will be the main near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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