Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs, showing persistent high pressure and clear skies over southern England, are the main driver pushing trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum for London on August 14. A heatwave peaking near 35°C on the 13th has elevated overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling, with current guidance indicating a low of 17–19°C under light easterly winds. Historical mid-August averages near 14–15°C underscore how unusual the current warmth remains, while ensemble spreads and minimal model disagreement support the heavy weighting on 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any last-minute cloud-cover changes ahead of the overnight period represent the key variables that could still shift final recorded values.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 14 августа?
22°C 56%
21°C 24%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
24%
22°C
56%
23°C
14%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C или выше
<1%
22°C 56%
21°C 24%
23°C 14%
20°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
14 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$586 Объем
1%
17°C
$90 Объем
<1%
18°C
$200 Объем
1%
19°C
$98 Объем
2%
20°C
$404 Объем
5%
21°C
$580 Объем
24%
22°C
$1,914 Объем
56%
23°C
$485 Объем
14%
24°C
$117 Объем
3%
25°C
$131 Объем
1%
26°C или выше
$316 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs, showing persistent high pressure and clear skies over southern England, are the main driver pushing trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum for London on August 14. A heatwave peaking near 35°C on the 13th has elevated overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling, with current guidance indicating a low of 17–19°C under light easterly winds. Historical mid-August averages near 14–15°C underscore how unusual the current warmth remains, while ensemble spreads and minimal model disagreement support the heavy weighting on 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any last-minute cloud-cover changes ahead of the overnight period represent the key variables that could still shift final recorded values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Объем
$4,921Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs, showing persistent high pressure and clear skies over southern England, are the main driver pushing trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum for London on August 14. A heatwave peaking near 35°C on the 13th has elevated overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling, with current guidance indicating a low of 17–19°C under light easterly winds. Historical mid-August averages near 14–15°C underscore how unusual the current warmth remains, while ensemble spreads and minimal model disagreement support the heavy weighting on 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any last-minute cloud-cover changes ahead of the overnight period represent the key variables that could still shift final recorded values.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,921Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs, showing persistent high pressure and clear skies over southern England, are the main driver pushing trader consensus toward a 21–22°C minimum for London on August 14. A heatwave peaking near 35°C on the 13th has elevated overnight temperatures by limiting radiative cooling, with current guidance indicating a low of 17–19°C under light easterly winds. Historical mid-August averages near 14–15°C underscore how unusual the current warmth remains, while ensemble spreads and minimal model disagreement support the heavy weighting on 22°C. Updated short-range forecasts and any last-minute cloud-cover changes ahead of the overnight period represent the key variables that could still shift final recorded values.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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