Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 29, 2026, indicate a minimum nighttime temperature near 17°C under persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds, positioning this as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Mild maritime air masses and high humidity from Atlantic influences are limiting radiative cooling overnight, consistent with late-summer climatology where baseline lows rarely drop below 15°C without clear skies. Updated model runs show limited overnight dips to 15–16°C only if showers clear earlier than expected, supporting the secondary 18°C outcome at 39%. Traders are monitoring final evening observations and any late adjustments from official agencies before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 29 августа?
17°C 39%
16°C 4.5%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$8,810 Объем
$8,810 Объем
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
54%
18°C
43%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 4.5%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$8,810 Объем
$8,810 Объем
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
54%
18°C
43%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 29, 2026, indicate a minimum nighttime temperature near 17°C under persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly winds, positioning this as the market leader at 56.5% implied probability. Mild maritime air masses and high humidity from Atlantic influences are limiting radiative cooling overnight, consistent with late-summer climatology where baseline lows rarely drop below 15°C without clear skies. Updated model runs show limited overnight dips to 15–16°C only if showers clear earlier than expected, supporting the secondary 18°C outcome at 39%. Traders are monitoring final evening observations and any late adjustments from official agencies before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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