Recent Met Office and European model guidance shows London's overnight minimum on August 30 hovering near 15–16 °C under a southwesterly flow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while moderate winds (10–15 mph) promote mixing. These conditions create a narrow range for the daily low, keeping 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August climatology supports minima around 14–15 °C, yet the current unsettled pattern has pushed the market-implied distribution higher, with any clearer spells or lighter winds overnight able to tip the reading toward 15 °C and heavier showers or stronger flow favoring 17 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will resolve the final threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 30 августа?
17°C 47%
16°C 41%
15°C 10.2%
14°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
10%
16°C
41%
17°C
47%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
17°C 47%
16°C 41%
15°C 10.2%
14°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$32 Объем
<1%
12°C
$227 Объем
<1%
13°C
$34 Объем
<1%
14°C
$398 Объем
<1%
15°C
$600 Объем
10%
16°C
$2,653 Объем
41%
17°C
$1,855 Объем
47%
18°C
$1,900 Объем
<1%
19°C
$39 Объем
<1%
20°C
$39 Объем
<1%
21°C или выше
$61 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance shows London's overnight minimum on August 30 hovering near 15–16 °C under a southwesterly flow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while moderate winds (10–15 mph) promote mixing. These conditions create a narrow range for the daily low, keeping 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August climatology supports minima around 14–15 °C, yet the current unsettled pattern has pushed the market-implied distribution higher, with any clearer spells or lighter winds overnight able to tip the reading toward 15 °C and heavier showers or stronger flow favoring 17 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will resolve the final threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$7,213Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance shows London's overnight minimum on August 30 hovering near 15–16 °C under a southwesterly flow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while moderate winds (10–15 mph) promote mixing. These conditions create a narrow range for the daily low, keeping 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August climatology supports minima around 14–15 °C, yet the current unsettled pattern has pushed the market-implied distribution higher, with any clearer spells or lighter winds overnight able to tip the reading toward 15 °C and heavier showers or stronger flow favoring 17 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will resolve the final threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,213Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model guidance shows London's overnight minimum on August 30 hovering near 15–16 °C under a southwesterly flow, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover limiting radiative cooling while moderate winds (10–15 mph) promote mixing. These conditions create a narrow range for the daily low, keeping 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes tightly matched as traders weigh slight differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical late-August climatology supports minima around 14–15 °C, yet the current unsettled pattern has pushed the market-implied distribution higher, with any clearer spells or lighter winds overnight able to tip the reading toward 15 °C and heavier showers or stronger flow favoring 17 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through dawn will resolve the final threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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