Recent Met Office guidance projects a Monday night minimum of 14°C for London under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 15–16°C. Forecasters note limited radiative cooling potential from residual cloud and showers earlier in the period, while ensemble runs show modest spread in overnight lows depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August 31 averages near 13°C provide context, yet current above-normal daytime warmth and stable high pressure favor a slightly milder minimum. Updated model guidance and any late adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 31 августа?
15°C 39%
16°C 36%
14°C 18%
13°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
2%
11°C
9%
12°C
15%
13°C
16%
14°C
18%
15°C
39%
16°C
36%
17°C
14%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C или выше
1%
15°C 39%
16°C 36%
14°C 18%
13°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
11°C
$181 Объем
9%
12°C
$31 Объем
15%
13°C
$30 Объем
16%
14°C
$32 Объем
18%
15°C
$15 Объем
39%
16°C
$195 Объем
36%
17°C
$0 Объем
14%
18°C
$50 Объем
2%
19°C
$0 Объем
2%
20°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a Monday night minimum of 14°C for London under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 15–16°C. Forecasters note limited radiative cooling potential from residual cloud and showers earlier in the period, while ensemble runs show modest spread in overnight lows depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August 31 averages near 13°C provide context, yet current above-normal daytime warmth and stable high pressure favor a slightly milder minimum. Updated model guidance and any late adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$534Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance projects a Monday night minimum of 14°C for London under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 15–16°C. Forecasters note limited radiative cooling potential from residual cloud and showers earlier in the period, while ensemble runs show modest spread in overnight lows depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August 31 averages near 13°C provide context, yet current above-normal daytime warmth and stable high pressure favor a slightly milder minimum. Updated model guidance and any late adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$534Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance projects a Monday night minimum of 14°C for London under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 15–16°C. Forecasters note limited radiative cooling potential from residual cloud and showers earlier in the period, while ensemble runs show modest spread in overnight lows depending on exact timing of clearing. Historical August 31 averages near 13°C provide context, yet current above-normal daytime warmth and stable high pressure favor a slightly milder minimum. Updated model guidance and any late adjustments to cloud or wind forecasts through the weekend remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы