Trader sentiment favors 14–15°C as London’s minimum temperature today, driven by Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and variable cloud that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-autumn climatology, where average minima hover near 12°C but recent subsidence and reduced wind speeds have kept readings 1–3°C above normal. Differentiation between 14°C and 15°C hinges on the precise degree of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing before dawn; clearer intervals could allow a brief dip, while continued stratus or advection maintains the higher end. Fresh model updates and official observations will resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 20 сентября?
14°C 42%
15°C 32%
16°C 15%
13°C 6%
$7,294 Объем
$7,294 Объем
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
33%
15°C
35%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
14°C 42%
15°C 32%
16°C 15%
13°C 6%
$7,294 Объем
$7,294 Объем
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
33%
15°C
35%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 14–15°C as London’s minimum temperature today, driven by Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and variable cloud that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with early-autumn climatology, where average minima hover near 12°C but recent subsidence and reduced wind speeds have kept readings 1–3°C above normal. Differentiation between 14°C and 15°C hinges on the precise degree of cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing before dawn; clearer intervals could allow a brief dip, while continued stratus or advection maintains the higher end. Fresh model updates and official observations will resolve the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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